Midday Market Roundup for Thursday, June 12, 2025

Good afternoon. This is your midday financial update from Duncan Williams Asset Management for June 12, 2025. Here are the four most significant economic and financial stories currently shaping the global landscape.

Oracle Leads Tech Rally, Boosting S&P 500

The S&P 500 is rebounding today, buoyed by a surge in Oracle shares following the company's robust earnings report and impressive growth in cloud infrastructure. Oracle's 11% year-over-year rise in total revenue to $15.9 billion, with its cloud infrastructure segment soaring 52% and management forecasting even stronger growth, has injected a wave of optimism into the tech sector. This positive momentum is helping to counterbalance broader market caution as investors digest new inflation data and await further signals from the Federal Reserve.

U.S.-China Trade Talks Keep Global Markets on Edge

Global markets remain volatile as investors react to the latest developments in U.S.-China trade negotiations. While both sides have agreed on a framework to reduce tariffs—pending final approval from leaders—uncertainty lingers, keeping traders on their toes. The Asia-Pacific region saw mixed results overnight, with Japan’s Nikkei and Hong Kong’s Hang Seng both declining. At the same time, Europe’s major indices also retreated on renewed trade worries and policy concerns. This caution in the market is a clear reflection of the current situation.

Softer U.S. Inflation Data Fuels Rate Cut Bets

The latest U.S. inflation data is in, and it’s softer than expected. The Consumer Price Index for May rose just 0.1%, below forecasts, and the Producer Price Index is also expected to show only a modest increase. These figures have led investors to speculate that the Federal Reserve will resume interest rate cuts later this year, with futures markets now indicating a strong possibility of two reductions by year-end. This insight into potential future market trends can help investors make informed decisions.

Geopolitical Tensions and Capital Flows Shape Global Sentiment

Beyond the numbers, geopolitical risks and shifting capital flows are weighing on investor sentiment worldwide. Tensions in the Middle East have contributed to volatility in oil and currency markets. At the same time, fund flow data indicate that investors are shifting their investments from U.S. equities to European and emerging market assets. Central banks remain in focus, with the European Central Bank holding steady and the Federal Reserve’s next moves under close watch.

Sources:
https://www.stl.news/global-markets-react-to-trade-talks-june-12-2025/
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2025-06-11/stock-market-today-dow-s-p-live-updates

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/11/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
https://www.investopedia.com/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-june-12-2025-11753122

https://www.cnbc.com/2025/06/11/stock-market-today-live-updates.html
https://www.stl.news/global-markets-react-to-trade-talks-june-12-2025/

https://www.nasdaq.com/articles/stock-market-news-jun-12-2025
https://www.reuters.com/business/traders-boost-bets-fed-rate-cuts-after-ppi-jobless-claims-data-2025-06-12/
https://www.investopedia.com/5-things-to-know-before-the-stock-market-opens-june-12-2025-11753122

Disclosure

The information provided in this article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment, legal, or financial advice. The content is not intended as a recommendation to buy or sell any security or investment product. Readers should consult with qualified financial, legal, and tax advisors before making any investment decisions.

The views and opinions expressed are based on sources believed to be reliable, but their accuracy or completeness is not guaranteed. Any forward-looking statements are based on current expectations and projections, which may change without notice.

Investing involves risk, including the potential loss of principal. Past performance does not guarantee future results. The strategies or investments discussed may not be suitable for all investors.

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