Tech-Led Reversal as Nvidia Rally Fizzles, Bitcoin Cracks

Markets saw a sharp reversal Thursday as an early surge following Nvidia’s strong earnings report gave way to broad risk-off sentiment. Tech and crypto-linked assets led declines, with the Nasdaq falling over 2%, and the S&P 500 giving back nearly all of its post-Nvidia rally. Bitcoin dropped to a 7-month low, coinciding with a notable uptick in market volatility. Mixed labor data and fading hopes for a December Fed rate cut further weighed on sentiment. Despite strong results, Nvidia finished down on valuation concerns, while Walmart provided a rare bright spot with a strong report and index switch news.

Key Headlines & Market Movers:

• Nvidia Beats, But Valuation Fears Dominate: Nvidia reported blowout earnings and guidance, citing massive demand for its Blackwell AI platform. Shares initially surged 5%, but reversed sharply to close down 3% as investors questioned the sustainability of heavy AI capex and stretched valuations. Despite strong fundamentals, the broader market reaction suggests enthusiasm around AI is increasingly tempered by macro headwinds and profit-taking.

Bitcoin Breakdown Spurs Speculation Reset: Bitcoin’s drop below $87,000 coincided with weakness across speculative tech and crypto stocks. Traders increasingly view Bitcoin as a proxy for market risk appetite, and Thursday’s slide fueled broader equity de-risking. Systematic and algorithmic funds likely accelerated the selling, highlighting ongoing fragility in retail-driven momentum trades.

• Fed Caution Persists Amid Mixed Jobs Data: September’s delayed jobs report surprised to the upside, but a rise in the unemployment rate to 4.4% muddied the waters. Initial jobless claims remain stable, and wage growth softened, adding to the Fed’s data uncertainty. While some see room for a December cut, most Fed officials continue to signal a wait-and-see stance, keeping the policy outlook highly uncertain heading into year-end.

Walmart Shines in Defensive Shift: Walmart bucked the trend, rallying over 6% on strong Q3 results and a guidance raise. Its shift to Nasdaq from the NYSE added further investor interest. As consumers remain cost-sensitive, Walmart’s ability to grow sales and manage costs reinforced its defensive appeal. The move also signals ongoing rotation into stable, high-quality retail amid tech volatility.

S&P 500 Sector Performance

Looking Ahead

With Nvidia’s earnings in the rearview and the Fed likely sidelined until more labor data is available, markets may struggle for near-term direction. Volatility is elevated ahead of Friday’s $3.1T options expiration, and systematic selling pressures may persist short-term. Investors are reassessing stretched valuations in tech, while awaiting clearer signals from upcoming macro data and year-end positioning trends. Defensive and quality names may remain in favor until conviction around a 2026 soft landing rebuilds.

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