U.S. and global markets were steady to higher on June 9, 2025, as investors focused on high-level U.S.-China trade talks underway in London, with hopes for progress on tariffs and broader economic tensions. The S&P 500 hovered near record highs, closing just above the 6,000 mark for the first time since February, while the Nasdaq also remained close to its all-time high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was little changed as investors awaited concrete outcomes from the negotiations.
Market Performance and Sentiment
• The S&P 500 closed at 6,000.36, up 1.03%, marking a milestone and signaling renewed investor optimism. The Nasdaq Composite climbed to 19,529.95, driven by gains in major technology stocks, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average ended flat.
• Asian markets rallied overnight, led by Chinese and South Korean shares, while European markets were mixed ahead of the trade talks' outcome.
• The positive sentiment was supported by last week's strong nonfarm payroll report, which showed steady hiring and wage growth, helping to alleviate immediate recession concerns.
U.S.-China Trade Talks and Tariff Outlook
• Senior U.S. officials, including Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Trade Representative Jamieson Greer, met with China's Vice Premier Lifeng in London to address ongoing tariff disputes and broader economic issues.
• Both sides are seeking to build on the 90-day pause on tariff implementations agreed to in Switzerland last month, which temporarily reduced reciprocal tariffs from 125% to 10%. However, the U.S. is maintaining a 20% tariff on Chinese imports related to fentanyl, resulting in an overall tariff of 30% on Chinese goods.
• Market participants are optimistic that these talks could lead to further tariff relief, which would support corporate earnings and global growth.
Economic Data and Policy Developments
• Inflation remains a central focus this week, with consumer and wholesale price reports expected to show modest increases for May. While headline inflation has eased due to lower energy costs, core inflation is likely accelerating as businesses begin to pass on tariff-related expenses.
• The Federal Reserve is widely expected to keep interest rates steady at its next meeting, but traders are pricing in nearly two rate cuts by year-end, with the first anticipated in September.
• Analysts at major banks, including Deutsche Bank, JPMorgan Chase, and Citigroup, have raised their year-end S&P 500 targets, citing renewed confidence in corporate earnings and the accelerating impact of artificial intelligence on growth.
Sector and Corporate Highlights
• Technology stocks led the gains, with Palantir Technologies surging 6.5% and other large-cap growth stocks showing mixed results in premarket trading.
• Sunnova Energy shares dropped sharply after the company filed for Chapter 11 bankruptcy protection.
• Oil prices slipped by 0.5%, while the U.S. Dollar Index fell 0.3%. Bitcoin also declined by 0.7%.
Global Economic Outlook
• China's latest trade data showed exports rising 8.1% year-over-year in May, while imports slipped slightly. Factory-gate deflation worsened, reflecting ongoing pressures from U.S. tariffs and a soft property market.
• The OECD recently revised its global growth forecast to 2.9% for both 2025 and 2026, citing trade policy uncertainty and tighter financial conditions.
Disclosure
This article is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice, an offer to sell, or a solicitation to buy any securities. All information is based on publicly available sources as of June 9, 2025. The author holds no positions in the securities mentioned. Readers should consult financial professionals before making investment decisions.
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