March 4, 2026

Stocks Rise as Strong Services Data Offsets Geopolitical Tensions

U.S. equities rebounded Wednesday as stronger-than-expected services data and easing inflation pressures reinforced the narrative of economic resilience, helping markets look past ongoing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East. Tech megacaps led the advance and risk appetite improved broadly, with cryptocurrencies surging and Bitcoin pushing above $73,000. Oil prices swung sharply amid uncertainty around the Iran conflict but ultimately settled near recent levels, while Treasury yields edged higher and the dollar weakened slightly.

Key Headlines & Market Movers:

Economic Data Signals Resilience While Inflation Pressures Cool: A report showing the U.S. services sector expanding at its fastest pace since mid-2022, alongside a services price index falling to its lowest level in nearly a year, boosted confidence that the economy remains strong while inflation pressures are moderating. The data supported the soft-landing narrative and helped drive a broad equity rebound after earlier volatility tied to geopolitical developments.

Tech Megacaps and Crypto Lead Risk-On Move: Large-cap technology stocks powered the rally, with the Nasdaq 100 significantly outperforming as investors returned to growth sectors after early-week risk aversion. Crypto assets surged alongside the improved risk tone, with Bitcoin topping $73,000 and related equities such as exchanges and trading platforms sharply higher, reinforcing the market’s renewed appetite for higher-beta assets.

  • Middle East Conflict Keeps Energy and Risk Sentiment Volatile: Markets continued to monitor the escalating conflict involving Iran, Israel, and the U.S., with military actions and uncertainty around shipping through the Strait of Hormuz driving sharp swings in crude prices. While the geopolitical risk premium remains elevated, strategists broadly view the impact on equities as temporary unless the conflict expands materially or disrupts global energy flows.

S&P 500 Sector Performance

Looking Ahead

Investors will remain focused on geopolitical developments in the Middle East alongside incoming economic data for confirmation that growth remains stable and inflation continues to cool. Markets will also watch upcoming corporate earnings and commentary from policymakers for clues about the interest-rate outlook, while volatility in oil and risk assets may persist until there is clearer direction on the Iran conflict.

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Investment Management Group (IMG)

The Investment Management Group at Duncan Williams Asset Management is led by a team with extensive experience in investment management, financial planning, and client service. President David Scully, CFA®, CFP®, has more than 20 years of experience and is active in Memphis civic organizations. Chief Investment Officer Kyle Gowen, CFA®, CFP®, oversees investment strategy and is engaged with the local community. Investment Analyst Jack Eason, CFA®, provides research and supports charitable initiatives. The IMG team is committed to professional standards, client service, and community involvement. No statement is intended as an offer of investment advice or a guarantee of future results.

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