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U.S. equities eased after last week’s highs, with the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq all closing lower as early gains in AI-linked semis couldn’t overcome a rebound in oil, firmer Treasury yields, and renewed Middle East jitters. Attention now pivots to big-box retail earnings and the Fed’s minutes midweek for fresh reads on the consumer and the rate path.
Key Headlines & Market Movers
Rates and crude nudge risk lower: A rise in Treasury yields re-emerged as a headwind, with traders citing supply concerns and heavy AI-related corporate issuance alongside fiscal worries as factors pushing rates higher. Oil’s rebound added to the caution, intersecting with renewed uncertainty around the Iran conflict and keeping cyclicals and broader sentiment in check. The combination clipped appetite to chase highs, particularly after last week’s record run.
AI infrastructure pockets shine, but mega-cap drag wins the day: Semiconductor, storage, and optical-networking names showed relative strength as investors stayed focused on the build-out of AI infrastructure, with notable gainers across chips and data gear earlier in the session. Still, the megacap complex was mixed-to-weaker into the close. Microsoft and Meta slipped, and the broader tech tape lost momentum as the day wore on. That rotation, green shoots in semis against softness in platform software and ad-tech, left the Nasdaq unable to hold its early edge.
Earnings handoff to Main Street bellwethers: With indexes still not far from highs, investors are shifting to retail earnings for a clean read on pricing power and traffic as the labor market cools. Recent soft retail data tempered some of the exuberance and keeps the debate alive over growth resilience versus disinflation tailwinds. Expect guidance tone and inventory color to matter as much as the prints, given narrow leadership and heightened sensitivity to macro cross-currents.

Into Wednesday’s Fed minutes and a stretch of big-box results, watch whether yields stabilize and crude cools, either could broaden participation and steady risk appetite; if not, leadership may stay narrow and rallies uneven.
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